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Posts Tagged ‘Scott Brown’

Battle for the Senate: Massachusetts

October 10th, 2012


Who will moderates pick come November? Tonight is the third of four debates between Massachusetts Senate candidates Sen. Scott Brown (R) and Elizabeth Warren (D) and the battle for the Senate in Massachusetts is likely to be close. If Elizabeth Warren can maintain support from 43% or more of Massachusetts’ moderate voters, she will likely win in November. But if Sen. Scott Brown can garner more than half of the moderates, he’ll retain his seat for a full term.

In May we released a report highlighting the importance of moderates in the 2012 Senate Battlegrounds races. Throughout October, we will assess how well the candidates are doing in appealing to this crucial group in the middle. First up, Massachusetts.

Despite being hailed as one of the most liberal states in the nation, Massachusetts is dominated by moderates. Over the past decade, more voters have identified as moderates—ranging from a high of 50% in 2006 to a low of 40% in 2000—than liberals or conservatives.[*] Liberals have never composed the majority of the electorate in Massachusetts; however, compared to most statewide electorates, liberals consistently outnumber conservatives.

Composition of the electorate

  Liberal Moderate Conservative
2000 36% 40% 24%
2004 34% 45% 21%
2006 27% 50% 23%
2008 32% 46% 21%
Average 32.25% 45.25% 22.25%

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Health Bill Changes Everything

March 29th, 2010


This piece was originally posted in the National Journal.

“I can’t guarantee that this is good politics,” President Obama told House Democrats the day before Sunday’s climactic health care vote. Is it?

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